Follow along with the video below to see how to install our site as a web app on your home screen.
Nota: This feature may not be available in some browsers.
OJO al dato! Estadisticas de la fed al rescate:
14:59 Las solicitudes semanales de hipotecas suben un 8,3% en EEUU
La Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) de EEUU ha publicado hoy su informe semanal de solicitudes de hipotecas hasta el 18 de enero, que muestra un incremento del 8,3% en términos desestacionalizados con respecto a la semana anterior en su índice, situándose en 981,5.
Según la asociación de banca hipotecaria, su índice aumentó un 11% sin desestacionalizar. Las solicitudes de refinanciación de hipotecas ya existentes han subido un 92% desde comienzos de noviembre y las solicitudes de compra un 7%.
Parece que los compradores están respondiendo a las bajadas de 40-80 puntos básicos en los tipos que hemos visto desde el 2 de noviembre en los productos,' apunta Jay Brinkmann, vicepresidente de Investigación y Economía de la MBA. El índice sobre el volumen de refinanciación de las hipotecas ya existentes subió un 16,9%
Fuente:Tienes que estar registrado para ver este contenido
Solo lo planteo como un caso teorico, pero: ?que pasaria si la FED bajara los tipos otra vez hoy? 😱:
Solo lo planteo como un caso teorico, pero: ?que pasaria si la FED bajara los tipos otra vez hoy? 😱:
No me extranyaria que la Reserva rebase otros 25pb o 50pb en su reunion del 30 de enero, tal y como van seguramente terminemos el anyo con tipos del 1% o 0%.
Pero no cambiara nada, alargara la recesion pero no cambiara las cosas.
Lo unico que podrian hacer ahora mismo para intentar evitar una recesion con mayusculas es subir los tipos al 5% y bajar gasto publico e impuestos.
Y no lo van a hacer.
Bobojista se toca como un mono de circo...
Solo lo planteo como un caso teorico, pero: ?que pasaria si la FED bajara los tipos otra vez hoy? 😱:
😱:Treasuries Rise on Rate-Cut Bets; 30-Year Yields Fall to Record
By Lukanyo Mnyanda
Jan. 23 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. Treasury notes gained, pushing two-year yields to the lowest since April 2004, on speculation the Federal Reserve will keep cutting interest rates to avert a recession in the world's largest economy.
Benchmark 10-year yields dropped to the lowest since June 2003 as European stocks and futures on U.S. stock indexes declined, prompting investors to seek safety in government debt. The Fed's decision yesterday to slash the target for overnight loans between banks to 3.5 percent pushed notes to the biggest rally since the aftermath of the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks.
``There'll be more rate cuts and we'll see further declines in yields,'' said Axel Blase, a fund manager at Invesco Asset Management in Frankfurt. ``The fundamentals haven't changed and investors are more keen to play it safe.''
The two-year Treasury yield fell 13 basis points, or 0.13 percentage point, to 1.85 percent as of 9:15 a.m. in New York, according to bond broker Cantor Fitzgerald LP. The price of the 3 1/4 percent security due December 2009 rose about 1/4, or $2.50 per $1,000 face amount, to 102 21/32.
Benchmark 30-year yields touched 4.101 percent, the lowest since regular sales began in 1977. Ten-year note yields dropped 11 basis points to 3.3 percent, the lowest since June 2003. Two- year notes yielded 1.45 percentage points less than 10-year securities, close to the biggest gap since 2004. The steeper yield curve indicates investors favor shorter-maturity debt in anticipation of lower interest rates.
`Still Positive'
Europe's government bond yield curve was at the steepest since May 2006 as German two-year note yields tumbled 23 basis points to 3.16 percent.
The Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index of stocks, a benchmark for Europe, fell 3.44 percent, while the benchmark index in Germany, the largest of the 15 nations that share the euro, slumped 3.2 percent.
``In the short-term, we're still positive on Treasuries,'' said Sean Maloney, a fixed-income strategist in London at Nomura International Plc, a unit of Japan's largest securities company. ``It's still a antiestéticar-driven market.''
Futures contracts on the Chicago Board of Trade show a 100 percent chance the U.S. central bank will cut the target rate by at least 50 basis points to 3 percent at its meeting next week. Traders see a 34 percent likelihood the Fed will decide on a 0.75 percentage point cut when it sets rates on Jan. 30. Yesterday's 75-basis-point reduction was the first time policy makers acted between meetings since 2001.
Two-year Treasuries yielded 1.65 percentage points less than the central bank's target for overnight loans between banks. The deficit was more than 2 percentage points yesterday before the rate cut, the most since 1981.
Market Turmoil
``Market turmoil may continue to lead to further rallies in Treasuries,'' said Shinji Kunibe, who helps oversee $847 billion globally at the Tokyo branch of JPMorgan Asset Management, part of the third-biggest U.S. bank by assets.
Treasuries also got support as expectations for U.S. inflation waned, judging by yields. Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities maturing in 10 years yielded 2.19 percentage points less than regular 10-year notes, near the smallest gap since 2003. The difference, or breakeven rate, reflects the inflation rate traders expect over the next decade.
Después de la respuesta del mercado a la mayor bajada desde el 1982, crees que bajaran más los tipos? esperando qué? esto no hay quien lo levante, nos vamos hacia una recesión en USA, quiera o no Bernanke... aquí decimos de marzo... a ver si llegan en USA a otoño 😱:
no os parece un poco raro que el IBEX se mantenga en los 12.300?, es como si esperara a una recuperación, como la de ayer del DOW....
no os parece un poco raro que el IBEX se mantenga en los 12.300?, es como si esperara a una recuperación, como la de ayer del DOW....
Futures contracts on the Chicago Board of Trade show a 100 percent chance the U.S. central bank will cut the target rate by at least 50 basis points to 3 percent at its meeting next week.