Similitudes y Diferencias entre Elon Musk (TESLA) y José maría Ruíz Mateos (Q.E.P.D., RUMASA y NUEVA

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Satori

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Tesla (y los demás eléctricos) estan dando un montón de problemas como usados:



Los "sencillos" "robustos" y "casi sin mantenimiento" coches eléctricos estan resultamdo ser una pesadilla como coches usados.

Los valores residuales se van a hundir cuando se difunda la noticia.
No se si Tesla es un pufo, pero tengo claro que el futuro del desplazamiento urbano y de medio recorrido para particulares es el coche eléctrico.

Ahora bien, yo no daría por sentado que necesariamente los materiales usados en lo relativo a electricidad y electrónica hoy en día en automoción sean los más válidos si se desea durabilidad....hoy en día que un coche tenga que ir al desguace por desgaste mecánico es relativamente poco frecuente, mientras que por fallos eléctricos/electrónicos hay muchos,
 

AYN RANDiano2

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Tesla S.

Seven hundred pounds (700 libras) por cambiar una manilla de puerta de un Tesla S.

One Expensive Door Handle - YouTube

Tesla Ranger Fixed my Door Handle - YouTube

Yo jamás he gastado ni sé de nadie que haya gastado un solo € por cambiar la manilaa de la puerta de ningún coche.

Tesla Motors Model S: Part 17 of Many! ISSUES! PROBLEMS! - YouTube

Agua en el maletero de un Tesla S. Entra por la cerradura y ls agarraderos para cerrar la puerta. He tenido coches de los 80 con 25 años encima y a ninguno le entraba agua por ahí.

Tesla X: Las puertas trasera y delantera chocan entre sí:

Tesla Model X Doors Hitting - YouTube
 
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AYN RANDiano2

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TESLA me ha tenido que cambiar el motor y pintar el capó: ¿por qué? - YouTube

los de Tesla construyen un coche con corrosión Galvanica con 2 años de antiguedad o poco más, será que no aplican la suficiente pintura metalizada

2- se le estropea el motor cada 40000 km, eso si la ' garantía es 8 años' con un par...
eso si la ' garantía es 8 años' con un par
Te pueden dar igual 80 años de garantía.

Tesla da pérdidas año tras año. De ahí sus "generosas garantías". NO NECESITAN CONTROLAR GASTOS porque no dan beneficios.

Mientras dure...
 

outzider

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De su boca salen constantemente las palabras maybe y probably. Está claro que ahora mismo Tesla es un negocio enormemente ruinoso que se mantiene en pie por las enormes cantidades de dinero impresas de la nada con las que van refinanciando ad infinitum. Yo creo que el futuro de los coches es eléctrico pero mi impresión es que la tecnología está muy verde como para meterse donde se han metido estos de Tesla. La actitud de otros fabricantes, trabajando en los coches eléctricos pero sin dar el salto en el vacío me parece mucho más prudente.
 

Noksan

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El coche eléctrico es como el smartphone, se impondrá en un futuro cercano.
 

AYN RANDiano2

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Más citas brutales:

Jobs strived to create massive profits while Musk could figure out how to lose money running a whorehouse in a sex- addiction clinic. Good luck investing in someone who prioritizes his phony version of “saving the world” from the window of a Gulfstream G650 over creating a business that’s actually profitable.

Another fun Tesla tidbit in December came from fanboy blog InsideEVs, which proudly reported without irony that Tesla’s Fremont factory now contains 6200 employees, which is nearly as many as the 6800 who worked there back when GM ran the factory. But here’s the thing: GM built over 400,000 cars a year with those employees while Tesla is building approximately 80,000! Perhaps now all those duped journalists reporting their own version of “fake news” regarding Tesla’s factory being unusually

automated will publish their corrections (I won’t hold my breath!) or at the very least run a quick YouTube search to learn how un-unique Tesla’s robots are.

Stanphyl Ends 2016 Up Up 31% Sure Of Tesla Motors Inc (TSLA) Collapse
One Tesla owner describes this Catch-22, after being told that a crash was her fault because she turned off Autopilot by hitting the brakes: “So if you don’t brake, it’s your fault because you weren’t paying attention,” she told The Wall Street Journal. “And if you do brake, it’s your fault because you were driving.”

How Tesla and Elon Musk Exaggeraged Safety Claims About Autopilot and Cars - The Daily Beast
Las proclamas de Tesla de que su "Autopiloto" es más seguro que los humanos incluyen también....a los motoristas.

So Tesla’s comparison is actually looking at two quite different data sets. In 2014, 4,586 motorcyclists and 5,813 pedestrians/cyclists were killed.

That leaves 22,276 vehicle occupants (drivers and passengers) that died. This latter set are probably the ones we should be comparing to Tesla’s one death in 130 million miles. By that count, one vehicle occupant died for every 135.8 million miles traveled with a human driver in control. Based on that statistic, humans are actually better drivers than computers.

Forbes Welcome
En realidad el "Autopiloto" es peor que los humanos...y eso sin tener en cuenta que Tesla está comparando sus coches (vida media de 2 años, >60.000€) con una flota general USA de vida media 11 años y con trastos de 1000$ circulando:

Tesla compares its fleet of (on average) 2-year-old cars to the U.S. fleet and its average age of 11.5 years, almost as old as the automaker itself. Data from the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety show that even when vehicles from 2004 were new, they were much less safe than modern vehicles are. At the time of manufacture, these vehicles were responsible for 79 fatalities per million registered-vehicle years—by comparison, the 2011 model-year vehicles cut the fatality rate by nearly two-thirds, to just 28 per million vehicle years. This yawning gap in safety is even wider now, since the 2004 vehicles are now over a decade old, and have likely racked up over 100,000 miles. Tesla holds up this aging U.S. fleet (including motorcycles, which are 26 times as likely to be involved in a fatal accident as passenger vehicles) as a reasonable safety comparison for its fleet.

Tesla’s comparison also overlooks the dramatic cost difference between its luxury cars and an “average” vehicle on the road in the U.S. today.

The lowest-priced Model S starts at $66,000, about the same as an entry-level Audi A7, and climbs to around $135,000 with options, a similar price point as a fully-optioned Lexus LS 600h hybrid. The Model X starts around $83,000 and tops out around $145,000, a price range bracketed by the Porsche Cayenne SUV on the low end and a Porsche 911 Turbo on the high end. Vehicles in this price range are engineered to be some of the safest vehicles on the road, and many come with a panoply of advanced driver assistance safety functions, like Automatic Emergency Braking and Adaptive Cruise Control, making them the most direct competition for Tesla’s vehicles. Comparing a vehicle in this rarified segment to the overall market, where the average new vehicle costs less than $35,000, is beyond disingenuous.

How Tesla and Elon Musk Exaggeraged Safety Claims About Autopilot and Cars - The Daily Beast
A integrar:

It definitely would be silly and naïve today to emulate Ford’s River Rouge plant of the 1920’s, where iron ore went in on one side and cars exited on the other. Groundbreaking as it was hundred years ago, to insist these days on making something on your own that can be bought better and cheaper elsewhere is silly at best, and suicidal eventually. Eventually, Tesla will learn, probably the hard and painful way, that in modern times, a high degree of vertical integration is a warning sign, and not a good thing at all.

Forbes Welcome
http://www.valuewalk.com/2016/12/tesla-motors-inc-tsla-2016/?all=1

Here go the shorts again with chest beating bravado relying on distortions and outright falsehoods like the "huge subsidy", "losing money on every car", "overvalued", "bubble", "Enron", "Tesla Killers" false narratives. FOR YEARS NOW,, time after time, rather than offering a compelling argument that Tesla is overvalued, it's critics have turned to falsehood after falsehood. Today's falsehoods are just more of the same gibberish as what we've seen before:

1) they'll go broke before they ramp up Model S production (fall 2012)
2) SuperCharger network will leave you stranded in the cold (Winter 2013)
3) They'll never build 20,000 cars per year (Winter 2013)
4) "It's a "cult stock" you just can't value the darn thing" (2013, 2014, 2015, 2016... and: it's almost entirely owned by insiders and institutional investors AND of course, the analysts models do value the company and all use the basics of fundamental valuation)
5) Cars are a fire hazard, death of Tesla (Fall 2013... and: Tesla's have fires at a far lower rate than gasoline cars, and when they do they are far less dangerous fires)
6) "Tesla Killers Coming from Everywhere" (2013,2014, 2015, 2016, and as of today, Tesla has sold over 180,000 long range EVs, all the "big boys" COMBINED, 350 total).
7) Sales are plateauing (2014, 2015, 2016, ... and: sales still growing)
8) Hydrogen Fuel Cells are the Future... look that's what Toyota, TOYOTA is choosing over EVs (2013, 2014, 2015... as of today: Toyota now taking up EVs)
9) EVs are worse for the environment than gasoline cars (2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016... debunked over, and over and over)
10) GigaFactory is a hoax, PR stunt, (2014, 2015... and: GF producing batteries)
11) Oil prices dropping, Tesla doomed (2015, 2016... and: sales still growing)
12) Model X cannot be produced, Tesla will go bankrupt (2015, 2016... and: Model X in full production)

IF TESLA WERE REALLY OVERVALUED, why would the shorts put so much energy into pumping out these false narratives to try to make a case?"
http://blogs.barrons.com/stockstowatchtoday/2017/01/13/tesla-motors-there-go-the-overhangs/

http://etfdailynews.com/2015/03/05/why-the-tesla-motors-inc-tsla-bubble-will-collapse/

http://www.thecountrycaller.com/601...biggest-single-company-stock-bubble-stanphyl/
 
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lucky starr

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Hola Ayn Randiano.

Lo primero agradecerte el curro que te has pegado. Esta muy bien. Deberias crear un pdf con todo ello y hacer una especie de librito.

Yo creo que tienes razón en algunas cosas y la comparativa con Rumasa es muy interesante.

Dicho esto, yo creo que Tesla NO ES HUMO, es una realidad. Es decir, tiene productos reales que cumplen lo especificado en sus características técnicas y pueden ser adquiridos en casi cualquier lugar del mundo.



El problema que tiene Tesla, como tu muy bien has apuntado es que compite contra los monstruos de la automoción y para ello necesita unas ventas brutales (desconocemos el numero de unidades anuales necesarias).

---------- Post added 19-ene-2017 at 11:02 ----------

Lo que necesita Tesla es que los inversores sigan poniendo dinero hasta llegar a este punto. Si se queda sin aportaciones, esta muerta.

De ahi que Elon Musk necesite vender "humo/ilusión/ proyecciones" para poder seguir gastando/ invertiendo y tener los mismos recursos de fabricación que sus competidores.
 
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lucky starr

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La "magia" de Musk esta en que ha sido capaz de fabricar un coche electrico que la gente quiere comprar a pesar de sus desventajas, precio, autonomía, -lentitud de recargas, etc.

Por eso les pone todas esas chorradas de falcon doors, autopilot, pantalla gigante, etc. Es para que el coche parezca del futuro y sea un coche "guay". El resto de fabricantes ha sacado modelos electricos feos y cutres que nadie compraría incluso ainque tuviesen un motor de combustión.
 
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Nico

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Puede que Tesla sea bulo, pero parecese que atacó un nicho de mercado, que está en auge.

Así es el FF91 de Faraday Future, un 'Tesla Killer' con 1.050CV y más de 600 kilómetros de autonomía
Que pena que para apoyar tu punto hayas puesto como ejemplo UN BULO ! :D

Lo del "Faraday" se ha puesto ya en el foro. Un "empresario chino" que está dejando el tendal de deudas con un auto "mágico" que no se puede comprar en ningún sitio. :rolleye:

Eso si... hasta tiene su propia versión de la "mega-factory" y todo !! :D (puedes buscar las fotos de la "inauguración de las obras" de la mega-factory del chino con su Faraday).

---------- Post added 19-ene-2017 at 16:50 ----------

El coche eléctrico es como el smartphone, se impondrá en un futuro cercano.
Notarás que ese NO ES EL PUNTO en este debate sino el "vendehumismo" de Musk y sus megalomaníacos -y deficitarios- proyectos.

Hay muchas empresas trabajando seriamente en el tema y, sin duda, veremos muchos más autos eléctricos en el futuro.

El problema aquí es que un vendehumo (Musk) tiene "hipnotizado" a un grupo de seguidores que piensan que están ante la figura de un moderno Moisés que los lleva a la tierra prometida cuando, en realidad, está enterrando dinero en un pozo sin fondo.

Eso no quita -hay que señalarlo- que la capacidad de ejecución de Musk difiere sustancialmente de los "hermanos de Yecla" y su "batería mágica de grafeno" (que es un bluf absoluto). Musk SI HA HECHO un hermoso auto eléctrico y eso hay que reconocerlo.

Para poner las cosas en perspectiva:

- Ruiz Mateos reflotó empresas y creó miles de puestos de trabajo ?... Claro!
- Musk ha hecho un auto eléctrico de querida madre ?... Por supuesto !


Alguno de los dos es "viable" ?... :no:
 

AYN RANDiano2

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AYN RANDiano2

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Si criticabas a Ruíz Mateos eras un "Rojo". Si criticas a Elon Musk eres un "muy de derechas":

Preguntar si Toyota o Samsung o Apple o Unilever son "de derechas o de izquierdas" es absurdo. Las empresas serias no tienen ideología porque son...empresas, NO SECTAS NI PARTIDOS.

Pero Rumasa sí tenía ideología, de derechas:



Todo Rumasa estaba empapado de milagrería y un mensaje conservador y tradicional. Tengo muchos números de "La Colmena" (revista intyerna de Rumasa) llenos de reportajes sobre peregrinaciones a tal Virgen de empleados del grupo, bodas, bautizos...

Tras la expropiación de 1983 el meme era que "Los gente de izquierdas del PSOE" eran los responsables del "robo" de Rumasa.

Aún cuando petó Nueva Rumasa en Intereconomía estuvieron emitiendo sonrojantes programas especiales donde los hijos de Ruíz Mateos defendían a capa y espada la "solidez" del grupo.

Si atacabas a Ruizma es que probablemente eras un "rojo" del PSOE.

Y si atacas a Elon Musk...eres un "muy de derechas" a sueldo de Trump
:

Right-wing group led by Trump propagandist launches campaign against Elon Musk, Tesla and SpaceX | Electrek

The trolling of Elon Musk: how US conservatives are attacking green tech | Technology | The Guardian

Fake news is the newest strategy for taking down Elon Musk, Tesla (TSLA) and SolarCity

Trump's potential new press secretary is attacking Elon Musk for some reason - Autoblog
 
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AYN RANDiano2

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Tesla guarda en secreto los manuales de taller de sus coches:

Forums
Factory Service Manuals ?
Submitted by Litennn on April 21, 2013

I have a new Red P85 scheduled for delivery in May and since I am located in Oklahoma the nearest service center is hours away.
I am a National Field Engineer and would like to be able to trouble shoot minor problems without waiting days for a Tesla Ranger, better yet be trained to become a Ranger for Oklahoma support. I would sign any non-disclosure agreements necessary to get Factory Service Manuals.

Oscar
MSNGIRL | April 21, 2013

Sudre_ I inquired months ago but no one replied

Oscar
Litennn | April 22, 2013

As a Tesla Model S owner since last Oct. I sorely miss a good service manual. The one supplied with the car is an incomplete embarrassment to Tesla.
Litennn | April 22, 2013

I was informed by my DS that Factory Service Manuals are not available to the public.

Strange as I bought the first Lexus RX400 available in 2005 and was sold the factory service manuals at the same time I bought the car.

Oscar
TeslaTap.com | April 22, 2013

I also wanted the manuals or at least a wiring diagram, but also was told they are not available to the public. I suspect it's a lot of factors:

1) It may be expensive to make and update a quality manual - so a good one may not even exist.

2) Perhaps it's only on-line and they haven't put is a system to allow public access (I've used the Lexus system, and obviously a lot of work went into the system. I love how it gives you a day's worth of on-line access for only $10).

3) All the service work is still under warranty, so the need is far less to date (but doesn't excuse after-market add-ins needs).

4) They may have concerns about users getting electrocuted and/or damaging the car. Then again you can blow up your ICE car if not careful (like when removing a gas tank full of gas). I can't see how Tesla is liable for stupid users, but there could be some liability concerns.

5) They may be trying to keep proprietary technology in house as long as possible and/or until relevant patents are issued.

6) Things are changing far more rapidly than a typical car company as they produce in-line improvements or changes to simplify manufacturing.

It's likely some mix of these, but I would hope that they will realize the value to MS owners who want a service manual, even if some areas are considered "Tesla service personnel only" - like the battery pack.
Vawlkus | April 23, 2013

Vawlkus: I know the uneducated need to learn about the EV industry and Tesla needs to protect it's proprietary information, but I should not have to call a ranger to replace a fuse for a tail light.
Even my Lexus had some black boxes for only "Lexus eyes", but I found the manuals very helpful for explaining to service department why my rear tires were wearing extremely fast on the inside before it was even noticed by the service department. It looks like this problem also occurred on the Tesla Model S for early owners.

All Tesla owners do not need to be educated to read the technical manual !

Oscar
Vawlkus | April 25, 2013

I disagree. Until Tesla is established, they are vulnerable to public opinion. Until that is not the case, Tesla must be very careful.
lolachampcar | April 25, 2013


I would pull out Star Diagnostics and run through the ride height calibration. I asked Tesla for this access and they refused. To their credit, they set up and appointment for me to bring the car down and work with their technicians to check it out. I have replaced the upper control arms on the back of the car to remove some camber so Tesla would be well within their rights to say it is not a warranty issue (although the camber spread is on the front as well which I have not touched). Instead, they have chosen to be helpful and for that I am grateful. That is a very good attitude but I am afraid it only postpones the inevitable conversation.
cnkurzke | June 21, 2013

Add me to the list of people.

I live right between the Factory and HQ in the Bay Area, but I bought the car exactly BECAUSE I am a car enthusiast.

I understand they have to keep some of their technology proprietary, and I would't expect to get a detailed circuit diagram of their charger system.

BUT - Simple things like fixing a dent in the bumper (and taking off the bumper) or doing some basic wiring on the inside (like hard-wiring a radar warner or installing after market backup sensors) should be allowed for the owners.

Having a wiring diagram would help immensely to make sure you DONT accidentially do something stupid, and having a diagram how the panels clip together avoids expensive and ugly accidential breaking of mounting tabs.
tim | February 6, 2015

The least Tesla should do is provide exploded diagrams showing how interior, exterior, and trunk trim is attached.
data02 | April 6, 2015

Manuals - Tesla
data02 | April 6, 2015

or you can use paid access here :
Welcome | Tesla Service
scotty2541 | September 17, 2015

The least they could do is make a service manual available so some of us could DIY repair these (excessive) failures of their (aux) battery, sensors, etc...

Factory Service Manuals ? | Tesla Motors

"Su" Tesla no es "suyo" después de todo.

Tesla mantiene en secreto toda la información pertinente para el mantenimiento del coche, aún el más básico.

Hasta el Nissan Leaf tiene su manual público:











Normal. Si el coche pertenece a alguien ese alguien debe tener derecho a repararlo si así lo desea.

Bestial "autopsia" de las razones de Tesla para NO facilitar esa información esencial:

Saturday, March 5, 2016
Why I think Tesla is building throwaway cars
Tesla very clearly builds some good cars. The Model S is an incredibly well regarded car, and it certainly goes like stink in a straight line.

A lot of Tesla fans claim that electric vehicles are inherently superior, because with fewer moving parts, they'll be able to stay on the road basically forever - no piston rings to wear, no transmissions to fail, no oil to change.

But will they? Frequently, the decision to repair or scrap a car isn't made based on what is technically possible, but based on what the owner thinks is financially reasonable. In many cases, it's possible to repair a car long past what most people would consider reasonable, but cars end up scrapped anyway because someone doesn't want to pay for the repairs.

For the Model S to remain on the road long past the standard lifetime of cars, then, it has to be financially antiestéticasible for an average owner to repair it and keep it running.

Is it? Read on and let's take a look.

What makes a "Repairable Car"?
Any car (or other vehicle) kept around long enough is going to need repairs at some point. Things break. It's the nature of the reality we live in, and it's especially the nature of things that go pounding down poorly maintained roads at high speeds for hundreds of thousands of miles.

What matters for longevity, then, is how easy it is to repair something when it breaks, and how expensive it is to get the parts and knowledge required to perform the repair. If something cannot be affordably fixed, the whole vehicle gets scrapped.

I've owned a number of vehicles over the years. Some, I've literally rescued from junkyards. Others, I've intercepted hours away from the junkyard ("Hey, the scrapper offered me $125, beat that and it's yours." "I'll be up there in half an hour with cash.") - and I've kept all of them on the road, and sold them in working condition to other people. In the process, I've learned a lot about what is easy to keep on the road, and what is hard.

There are several factors that go into a repairable car.

The first, obviously, is being able to get the parts. Having a common enough car helps a lot. Nobody is going to have problems finding parts for a Mustang or a Civic. You can get parts for them anywhere, and there are often a wide range of aftermarket parts available as well to improve on what the factory put in.

The second factor is the design of the car. How easy is it to replace parts? If you need a full factory service manual (that you cannot obtain) and a bunch of specialized tools to work on the car, it fails here. If you can repair the common failures with a set of socket wrenches and a Chilton's or Haynes manual, awesome! Worth a special mention for "difficult" are the cars that needlessly require a service computer to replace parts. On a certain 1994 GM car I've had the displeasure of working on, replacing the brake master cylinder requires a $10,000 GM Tech 1 computer, because removing the master cylinder requires removing the antilock brake module. This, in turn, requires detensioning the antilock actuator. Which requires a computer. Not a friendly car to work on, and I'd hope it's long since been turned into anvils.

How Repairable is a Tesla Model S?
Tesla has, at literally every corner, made it as hard as they can to work on their cars. An incomplete list of issues with keeping a Model S on the road includes:

Service manual availability
Extended Warranty Transfer & Exceptions
Firmware Updates for Everything
No independent shops
Salvage title checks
Strong stated opinions about information screens
Lack of a working OBD-II port

Service Manuals
The first problem in trying to repair a Tesla involves the service manuals. Historically, factory service manuals are easy to come by, and the Chilton and Haynes aftermarket manuals cover most things you'd want to do on a car.

Tesla, being of the internet age, has "progressed" past paper manuals you can buy and peruse - they've got their service manuals available online! If you browse to Welcome | Tesla Service, you see a friendly "WELCOME TO TESLA MOTORS SERVICE" banner, with information about available information subscriptions.

Yes, subscriptions. $30/hr, $100/day, $350/mo, or $3000/yr (prices as of Feb 15, 2016).

Well, that's still better than shop labor rates, right? One click takes you to the Registration page, where you enter your email, a password (complete with password strength meter), and once you select your country ("United States" for me), there's a bit of a problem.

I don't live in Massachusetts.

And there's no other options in the list.

So, sorry. You probably can't get the service manuals outside Massachusetts. In a car with sensors everywhere, you probably shouldn't pry anywhere with one. Where are they? Guess!

Why can you get the manuals in Massachusetts (if for obscene rates)? Because they passed the Massachusetts Right to Repair Initiative back in 2012.

Extended Warranty Transfer
Tesla has an 8 year/unlimited mileage battery and motor warranty on their Model S. However, the rest of the car has a reasonably standard 4 year/50,000 mile warranty.

If you'd like to extend this out to 8 years, you can - Tesla offers an extended warranty that can be purchased before the 4 year/50,000 mile warranty is expired.

For quite a while, this couldn't be transferred to a new buyer. However, in the middle of February, 2016, Tesla did change this, and chose some really weird wording for the change.

The original, before mid-Feb: Service plans | Tesla (Feb 14, 2016):

Can I transfer my Tesla Service Plan or Extended Service to the new owner if I sell my Tesla vehicle?

No, you can request a cancellation and reimbursement of your Tesla Service Plan. Please refer to the Terms and Conditions for your Tesla Service Plan or Extended Service for more information.

Shortly after some news sites noticed this change, Tesla said "Whoops!" and changed it to some shiny new wording:

Current wording, mid-March:

Can I transfer my Tesla Service Plan or Extended Service to the new owner if I sell my Tesla vehicle?

Yes, you can transfer the unused portion of your Tesla Service Plan or Extended Service Agreement with the sale of your Tesla. In addition, we’re going to take this opportunity to go one step further: Tesla owners can transfer the unused value of your Extended Service Agreement towards an Extended Service Agreement for a new Tesla Model S or Model X. Please refer to the Terms and Conditions for your Tesla Service Plan or Extended Service for more information. You can view these Terms and Conditions after logging into your Tesla account. Click on “Services Sign Up” and amowing the appropriate link for your chosen plan.

Tesla claims the previous wording was a mistake - but notice in the new wording, "In addition, we're going to take this opportunity to go one step further:" What opportunity? That they got caught with some changes? It's really weird wording for a standard policy, at best.

Extended Warranty Exceptions
Not wanting to trust that everything would be resolved within the first 4 years, you wisely bought the extended warranty.

What does, and doesn't, this cover?

If you haven't looked over it, you should. As of this posting, the document is dated Feb 18, 2016. I'll highlight a few interesting bits and pieces.

Per-Visit Deductible
The deductible for an extended warranty visit is $200. Per visit (not per issue).

Schedule Service Requirements
You did keep up with all the "optional" scheduled service, right?

To maintain the validity of this Vehicle ESA, You must amow correct operations procedures and have Your Vehicle serviced as recommended by Tesla during the Agreement Period of this Vehicle ESA. If requested, proof of required service, including receipts showing date and mileage of the Vehicle at the time of service, must be presented before any repairs under this Vehicle ESA commence. Service within 1,000 miles and/or 30 days of Tesla’s recommended intervals shall be considered compliant with the terms of this Vehicle ESA.

This is especially entertaining, considering Tesla's stance on warranty for the "regular warranty" (from https://www.teslamotors.com/support/service-plans#/tesla-service, March 2, 2016):

If I choose not to service my Tesla vehicle, will this void my warranty or Resale Value Guarantee?
It is highly recommended that you service your Tesla vehicle once a year or every 12,500 miles. If you do not amow this recommendation, your New Vehicle Limited Warranty will not be affected. If you are financing your Tesla vehicle through Tesla Financing, you will only be eligible for the full Resale Value Guarantee if your Tesla vehicle is brought in for service per the above recommended timeline.

They conveniently fail to mention that by doing this, you might void your extended warranty.

Transport to the Authorized Service Center
It's on you. Hopefully you live near a Service Center.

The cost of transporting Your Vehicle is not included in this Vehicle ESA and You are solely responsible for the cost of transporting Your Vehicle to the Tesla Authorized Service Center.

Tesla's new 500 mile roadside assistance offer doesn't seem to apply to the extended warranty. Sorry.

Exclusions (What is not covered)
This section includes a lot of things that will void your warranty or aren't covered. A sample of items:

Repairs, modifications or alterations, or the installation or use of fluids, parts or accessories, performed by any service provider other than a Tesla Authorized Service Center without prior authorization from Tesla;
…using the Vehicle as a stationary power source…
…including not performing all vehicle maintenance and service requirements during the Agreement Period…
Vehicles used for commercial purposes, which includes but is not limited to government purposes, pick-up, and delivery service, company pool use, or for service or repair calls, route work, or hauling;
Racing on or off road, competition, speed contests or autocross or for any other purposes for which the Vehicle is not designed…
Roadster and Model S vehicles used for towing;
Towing the Vehicle or improper winch procedures;
Tampering with the Vehicle and its systems, including installation of non-Tesla accessories or parts or their installation, or any damage directly or indirectly caused by, due to or resulting from the installation or use of non-Tesla parts or accessories;
Adjustments necessary to correct squeaks, rattles, water leaks or wind noise;
Parts and normal or expendable maintenance items and procedures such as annual service and diagnostics checks, brake pads/linings, brake rotor, suspension alignment, wheel balancing, hoses, air conditioning lines, hoses or connections, Battery testing, fluid changes, appearance care (such as cleaning and polishing), filters and wiper blades/inserts;

This is a small list of ways to void your extended warranty and things that aren't covered. Basically, unless you've had a Tesla Service Center do all the work from day 1, on schedule, they can probably find an excuse to not cover you.

Regarding competition driving, autocross, etc - remember, this is a company who wrote their interpretation of a test drive, including such details as, "Instead of plugging in the car, he drove in circles for over half a mile in a tiny, 100-space parking lot."

Have you driven for Uber? Ever? That might be considered a "commercial purpose." Is it? Maybe.

I certainly hope you haven't done what a Tesla owner in Texas did, and towed a ton and a half or so behind a Model S. That's definitely going to void the extended warranty!

If it leaks water anywhere? That's not covered either.

And air conditioning lines not being covered? They shouldn't fail that early.

Basically, if Tesla doesn't want to honor your extended warranty agreement, they can probably find some way out of it.

What about service center costs?

Service Center Costs
Since the only answer for service is, "Take it to your nearest Tesla Service Center," it would be helpful to know what will it cost to repair a Model S out of warranty? Nobody knows! They're all in warranty!

It's possible to take a look at known service plan pricing, though, and get an idea.

Service plans | Tesla lists the services performed and cost for each of the three annual inspection levels.

For a service consisting of: Multi point inspection and alignment check, tire rotation, cabin air filter replacement, wiper blade replacement, and a new set of key fob batteries, you pay $400.

If brake fluid replacement and "AC Service" is added to the previous, it's $700.

And if the battery coolant is getting replaced, it's $900.

This is not particularly cheap. At all. Especially when one considers that the car is perpetually performing a "Multi point inspection" of itsself. From a comment in a post on rebuilding a flooded Model S, the cars are constantly detecting and reporting faults back to the mothership, even as they flood (apparently with enough detail to determine that the battery pack was taking on water). This isn't a 1970s Camero. We've moved to sealed bearings and bushings for suspension, and everything else has a sensor. What are they inspecting?

Don't expect the Service Center to be cheap, out of warranty. It's not like you've got other options!

Salvage Titles
A salvage title is a reasonably straightforward thing. It means the insurance company didn't consider the vehicle economical to repair (usually if it's more than 50% of the remaining value), and have fun.

You can usually pick up salvage title vehicles cheap, repair them yourself (since parts cost is less than "insurance company shop cost"), and be on your way.

Well, unless you tried to do that to a Tesla with a salvage title. Tesla, unlike every other manufacturer, will only reactivate your car in their system if you take it to them first.

Take a look at their Authorization & Release for Inspection of Salvage Vehicle form.

In a nutshell:

Tesla requires you to bring the vehicle to one of their Service Centers or a Tesla-certified body shop to do a detailed inspection, to their desired level of detail (which, of course, you can't find out in advance). You pay actual cost for this inspection.
All warranties are void (this is reasonable enough).
If Tesla doesn't like the repairs, they won't touch the vehicle until you fix it to their satisfaction. You, of course, pay for subsequent inspections. And the repairs.
"If Tesla determines that sufficient repairs cannot be made to the Salvage Vehicle, Tesla will not service the Salvage Vehicle."
Tesla won't sell you parts to fix your vehicle (not that you can get the service manual anyway).

Basically, a salvage Tesla is useful as a source for parts Tesla won't sell people, and that's it. Tesla has the final say on repairs, and if they don't feel like doing it for you, well, tough.

Would you like to do something interesting with a salvage Tesla chassis, like putting a stretched Vanagon body on it? Sorry. This guy's local service center sent him an email saying, "Due to the salvage status of your Model S , I have been instructed to cease providing you with parts."

Did you buy a salvage Model S and repair it yourself? Oh... you wanted it reactivated so it would work? Tough. Not only does Tesla "deactivate" cars, you have to bring it to them and pay their inspection fees to get it working again.

Who really owns a Tesla? Not the title holder, that's for sure.

Information Screens
Recently, a set of photos of the service menus of the Model S did the rounds of the internet.

Why is this remotely interesting on the 4th production year of a car? Well, because most people can't get to it. Even read only screens. You're locked out, on "your" car.

The car has a wealth of information available to it, and the only way to obtain this is with a Tesla Technician. Almost certainly, this will not be released to owners when the car is out of warranty (though if the car detected it's status and unlocked access, this would be incredible).

A Tesla VP, posting on Tesla Motors Club back in 2012, expressed a very clear opinion on the service screens:

The screens behind this password are behind a password for a reason. These diagnostic screens contain information that is not meant to be public. These screens are accessible in the car to help our technicians help our customers. They contain information about the car and its systems.

I won't go into all the reasons why I would prefer these screens not be posted here, or anywhere else for that matter, but if anyone reading this owns or works at a business that has information that is not meant for public display, then they will understand my request. If you work at a company with a client list, you would prefer that your client list not be published on the web. If you use any type of proprietary software or hardware, you would prefer not to have the code published on the web. If you have a new technology that you are fighting very hard to bring to market, you'd prefer that all the workings behind your new technology not be published on the web.

I could go on and on, but I will not. I will simply say that what is behind this password is not meant for public display. It is there to allow us to help our customers as quickly and efficiently as possible, and I would respectfully ask that the screens and content of the screens not be posted openly anywhere.

So, despite you holding the title, it's Tesla's information. Even useful things, like tire pressure.

OBD-II and Network Ports
This information being unavailable is in contrast to almost every other car on the market that puts out plenty of useful information over the OBD-II port. They're required.

Tesla has one on the Model S. It just doesn't happen to work. Even if you just want basic information like "speed" and "miles driven" for those pay-by-the-mile insurance discounts? Nope. Nothing. They just think it's a parked car (before the companies involved figured out that it's not compatible).

Fortunately, the Model S has an accessible ethernet port. Unfortunately, if you use it, you may get a phone call from Tesla that talks about voiding your warranty, industrial espionage, and then a firmware update that disables the port.

Tesla doesn't want you messing with "their" car.

Why does this matter?
It matters because Tesla would like people to believe they're making very long lived cars that will last nearly forever. It's apparently been stated in some conference or another that Tesla has a battery pack that has done the equivalent of 500k miles in a lab somewhere, and "low maintenance" is consistently listed by owners as a reason they purchased one.

Right now, almost all the Model Ss driving around are under the factory warranty, and I'd wager a large number have the extended warranty (though see above for my opinion of it). In another 4 years, the first wave will be leaving the extended warranty coverage, and then people will have to pay the full costs to maintain the car.

Which, unless something changes, involves going to a Tesla Service Center and paying whatever they want, since you can't get parts other places, and even if you do get the parts, you can't find out how to install them. And, at least some of them apparently involve firmware updates to make things work, which you can't get the software to do.

It's pretty well locked down, and you simply don't have any options. There are no independent shops you can use either.

So far, it doesn't seem to affect people that much. The Model S and Model X are selling as fast as they can be built, and it turns out that people who buy new $100k cars don't really care much about out-of-warranty maintenance costs.

But this will become more and more of a problem as the cars drop in value over time - both for the Model S/X, and for the more inexpensive Model 3. Not everyone buying a $35k or $45k car will be able to afford to replace it when the warranty is up, and with Service Centers being the only places for service at unknown prices, they could end up as very expensive vehicles to keep on the road. If everything is reliable as expected, the power electronics and motors should be fine long term, but only time will tell how they actually handle decades of use.

According to the US DOT, the average age of cars on the road in 2015 was 11.4 years - and this has been steadily increasing over time. So the question shouldn't be, "How easy is it to maintain a Model S in 4 years" - it should be, "Can they be reasonably maintained to survive 20 or 30 years on the road?"

Why not leases only?
There's actually another electric car that had this level of lockdown with regards to access and service. The GM EV1. From Wikipedia:

The cars were not available for purchase, and could be serviced only at designated Saturn dealerships.

If Tesla really wants to maintain this much control over it's cars, they could do it reasonably enough with leases.

But they're not. They're selling vehicles outright, offering owners the title, and then essentially saying, "But it's still our car - not yours. You can't access it, you can't repair it, and you can't have the information from it."

What can be done?
If you're an owner of a Tesla vehicle, it would be wise to keep a bit of a cash or credit buffer around post-warranty for repairs. Until they're better understood in frequency and price, it's safe to assume they'll be quite expensive.

If you're Tesla? Independent service shop certifications would be a good start, but so would making the information available to the owners of your cars. A working OBD-II port would be a nice touch too.

And if you don't care? Well, then don't care, and do whatever you want.

https://syonyk.blogspot.com.es/2016/03/is-tesla-building-throwaway-cars.html

Los comentarios son demoledores:

53 comments:

Vijay SankarMarch 6, 2016 at 8:22 AM

Thank you for the detailed info re. what one can expect with a Tesla. I was thinking about getting a Tesla next year till I read your post.
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Ken MillerMarch 6, 2016 at 9:48 AM

The no-lease thing is because you can't get federal or state incentives I'd you lease. Great rundown thanks for publishing this.
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Mike JacoubowskyMarch 7, 2016 at 5:49 PM

At least in California, you can get both federal & state incentives with a 3-year lease (at least that's been the case with the Chevy Volt). The money actually goes to the bank, but is (or should be) credited back to the person leasing the car.
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Paul RodmanMarch 6, 2016 at 9:52 AM

A very strange blog post indeed. From what I know, the gist of your posting would be the same for any high end car. Do I want to use my car as a power source? Tow a trailer with a car not rated for that? No, of course not.

The service lockdown makes total sense right now. I have no problem with it. The car is completely computer controlled and could probably easily be hacked into going faster, etc.... Not to mention they are still learning and changing things....the over the air upgrades and bug fixes are awesome and all car makers are amowing as quickly as possible. Musk has publicly stated he doesn't intend for service to be a profit making organization. Perhaps you don't believe that promise but I'm willing to take that risk.

Comparing this policy to the EV1 is just silly. The EV1 was built by AC propulsion for GM, GM had no interest in electric cars (Watch movie "Who killed the electric car?") but probably wanted to understand what they'd be up against if they became popular.

I'm not a "rich" person. The most expensive car I have owned was the Camry Hybrid I sold when I got my Tesla. The Camry, which has a good reputation, required plenty of expensive repairs during it's live...with a 'finale' of $800 to change a bad electric duct flapper valve that prevented defrost mode from working. There was only one guy in the shop willing to take the 2 day job of open heart surgery to replace it so I could sell that car.

Basically, With all due respect, I think your blog posting is overblown. IMHO, the Model S will be more reliable and no more difficult or expensive to service than any other luxury car over time.

It's an awesome machine. Have you driven one yet?
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Russell GravesMarch 9, 2016 at 8:43 PM

Elon Musk claims many things. It will be interesting to see where things go, but I stand by my conclusions right now.

Being "no more difficult or expensive to service than any luxury car" is interesting, but ultimately not useful when it comes to the Model 3 - as that will be a lower price, mass market car that, at least from everything that's known now, will be serviced in the same way - the same service centers that Model S owners are annoyed at.

I haven't driven one. There's literally nothing in my life that would be improved by one, since I've found other forms of transport that are cheaper and more consistent. I'd rather spend the money on a house.

I'd like one eventually, once they hit cheap beater status, but unless something changes, that won't happen, so I won't own one.
UnknownMarch 10, 2016 at 4:16 PM

I am the manager of an independent auto repair shop specializing in hybrids, and I can assure every aspect of this blog is spot-on. Our industry advocacy association ASCCA lobbies in Sacramento constantly to fight the OEMs for access to parts and information, partly of course out of the self-preservation instinct, but also in the interest of allowing competition to create a market which benefits the consumer. In fact, it sounds like Tesla is in violation of state and federal laws, but much like BMW they probably use loopholes such as the technology eternally being in a beta release.

At any rate, don't undervalue the information presented here.
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FlaviosloviMarch 6, 2016 at 10:20 AM

Paul, no other high end car (we own a few) have such atrocious Extended Warranty provisions.

This is an area Tesla can do a lot better. Some of these concerns are not at all overblown.
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ChrisMarch 6, 2016 at 12:13 PM

Why do I need a automobile which needs repairs often and spews nasty fumes at all times. My horse takes care of itself for the most part and there are plenty of places to tie up the beast, while easily feed and shelter on the road at almost every stop. The car needs gasoline which I can't get from many places and the parts are all made in a factory three states away. Everyone around knows animal husbandry but few if any know how to fix an automobile.

"Yup, the automobile is waste of time and is never going to be worth owning and besides I'm not selling my horse since I just got a new saddle and matching crop. You're all crazy with your highfalutin auto-mo-bile."
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Russell GravesMarch 6, 2016 at 2:05 PM

You miss the point entirely. My problem is not with electric vehicles (see the whole rest of my blog). My problem is with vehicles that are deliberately difficult to maintain for no good reason.

I commute daily on an electric bike, and my bike is entirely maintainable by me. I can trivially swap out parts if something fails (the throttle lever failed the other day, and it took me 15 minutes to install the replacement). I can obtain parts for it from a wide variety of sources. As a result, I'm not bound to any particular vendor or bike shop for repairs.
ChrisMarch 7, 2016 at 8:11 AM

No, you missed the point of MY post. The point is that these were the same issues when the automobile was new. It worked itself out as the quantity increased.

Tesla is keeping repairs close to home since it's been shown that their is a concerted effort to stop Tesla. When you have that kind of animosity you don't trust others to do certain things that are important to your image.

You make a lot of assumptions and predict future problems but let me make an assumption of my own: It will work itself out. The sky isn't falling on Tesla. They are playing their hand close to their vest and when they go much bigger with the Model 3 they will change their modus operandi to accommodate. They believe it will last longer due to less moving parts; it makes scientific sense that it will.
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Ko KoMarch 6, 2016 at 2:15 PM

The author should have been a lawyer the way he shouts overblown antiestéticar from every orifice to cloud the extreme value proposition that the Tesla Model 3 represents. Please analyze the stock market next so we all know to do the exact opposite of your opinion and earn the highest ROI.
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Russell GravesMarch 6, 2016 at 2:21 PM

"Overblown antiestéticar from every orifice"?

If you can point to where I made factual mistakes, please, do so - I welcome the correction, and this post was somewhat hard to find reliable sources for. If there are genuine errors, I would like to correct them.

However, if all you're going to do is scream that "BUT HE DOESN'T LIKE TESLA HE'S A BIG MEANIE DOODOO HEAD!!!" (which is basically what your comment amounts to), you're not adding anything of value.
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MikeMarch 6, 2016 at 3:43 PM

Most of the points you make are par for the course in legal/insurance matters. 1. You promise the world 2. You insert clauses retracting all previously mentioned liability.
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Andrew MartinMarch 6, 2016 at 4:45 PM

Thanks for the article, Russell.

The Tesla is an interesting car to me, but the comments from the Tesla VP are very enlightening indeed. My car's tire pressure is top-secret Intellectual Property? I wouldn't buy a car where even my vehicle logs are considered Tesla's. Also, all that technology and they couldn't put a working OBD port in there?

Tesla better change their attitude about this stuff if they intend to last as a business beyond the warranty period of the current generation of their cars.
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UnknownMarch 7, 2016 at 3:34 PM

Tyre pressure is visible since the autopilot upgrade with the new UI. So there's a factual error there already.
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andrewcjduongMarch 6, 2016 at 8:28 PM

The transfer of warranty completely makes sense to me. It's basically stating that if you sell your car, but are purchasing another Tesla. The remaining extended warranty can be transferred to another Tesla. I don't get why you're confused...
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Russell GravesMarch 6, 2016 at 9:34 PM

What you can do with an extended warranty seemingly changes on the whims of some manager at Tesla Motors.
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Barnacle BillMarch 6, 2016 at 8:43 PM

On the one hand, I see your point. I carefully considered buying a Tesla, and one of the things that turned me away was the reputation that it's "the iPhone of cars", and even basic software upgrades would require additional payments. On the other hand, I get the impression that you might consider driving a 1986 Ford Mustang, which might get 12MPG, a better choice than driving a Tesla, because you can fix it yourself. Cars are complex. It's been 20 years since the average home mechanic could do much more than an oil change. If anybody buys a Tesla and expects it to be serviced less expensively by a 3rd party shop, they are smoking crack. And I have to give them the benefit of the doubt that allowing 3rd parties to muck about will result only in sadness. Do you reprogram the ROM on your computer, or the microcode on your NIC card? Do you feel like you need to, or should be allowed to?
Time will tell. If Tesla is still servicing the 2012 Model S in 2032, at the same shop rates as for any other cars, then your arguments are specious. But neither you nor I can predict whether they will, or whether they will "EOL" their old models. True, their service is expensive and proprietary. Um, have you been to a Benz service department lately? Just because it's expensive and proprietary doesn't miccionan it's any less sustainable than any other system, for similar technology.
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Russell GravesMarch 6, 2016 at 9:40 PM

I'm not a fan of Mustangs, but, yes, you have the year right for my long term plan as a fun car.

I do my best to reduce single occupant car based transportation, and the number of other posts on my blog about electric bikes should give you an idea as to what I consider a reasonable way of getting one person around.

As for reprogramming the ROMs, would you consider modifying the EFI firmware flashed into a BIOS chip "reprogramming the ROM"? If so, then, yes, I have done this, and I have messed around with some NICs as well. If by ROM you miccionan "hardware ROM" static boot block, no, I haven't messed about it with it, because it is, in fact, read only. I'd have to replace it entirely, and I haven't found a need to.

Even if Tesla is servicing a 2012 Model S in 2032, do you expect the buyers of a 20 year old Model S to all be in the financial situation to pay whatever Tesla wants for repairs? That's going to be the only option unless something changes, which is what I hope to bring awareness of.

I haven't been in a Mercedes service department lately, no. The only Mercedes vehicles I've had the pleasure of taking care of were quite old at the time.
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Satisfied Model S owner in CTMarch 6, 2016 at 9:23 PM

I have a 2013 Model S P85 which I purchased from the original owner with 75,000 miles on the odometer. No extended warranty. Thus far, over 8 months:
Replaced 2 door handles (about $950 each);
Replaced the motor (mentioned to the tech that I heard "something" between 23-28mph; he concurred, recorded the noise, and shortly thereafter I received a call telling me that the replacement was covered by the 8-year/unlimited mile battery/drivetrain warranty - replaced at my convenience for free, along with a "frayed wiring harness to the emergency brake" - again, cost =$0);
Crimped windshield washer fluid hose fixed (courtesy repair);
Replaced rear tail light assembly (bugs inside - clearly not sealed) cost = about $950
Bought 4 new snow tires = $1,100 installed

All in all, although it appears to be expensive, it really isn't - and the Service Center people (3 locations, 3 states) have been very professional... Not "Lexus White Glove" lecel, but better than my recollections of dealer service elsewhere.
I timtied to get an exception to purchase an extended warranty - not offered in CT when car was <50k miles - but request was denied.

Car is really great.

Thing to remember: owners are subjects in a Beta test process.

I'm confident I'll be good for 200,000 miles+ here.
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Russell GravesMarch 6, 2016 at 9:43 PM

In 8 months, you've had $1900 in door handle repairs, a drive unit replaced (under warranty), a failing wiring harness to the emergency brake (which, ideally, would function in an emergency), a failed hose for wiper fluid (often quite important for seeing clearly in conditions), and a failed tail light? You've spent nearly $3000 on repairs in 8 months (I don't count snow tires as repairs), have a significantly greater amount covered under warranty, and you expect this will be an affordable car to take another 200k miles? I wish you the vest of luck, but that's not something I would consider a reasonable decision.
UnknownMarch 6, 2016 at 11:24 PM

Geez I bought 2 20ish year old cars(93 camaro, 98 camaro) and one 30 year old car(85 corvette) in the last year as Ive developed a keen interest in sports cars as I near 30 years old.

The 93 camaro ran fine but small things needed, the 98 camaro needed a transmission, and the corvette needed a transmission. i fixed all 3 of them up for half what your 3 year year old car needed alone. Granted, I did the work myself because I thought it would be a good learning experience and now its become a hobby because I enjoyed doing it so much. I wouldnt trade my old cars that I actually own and have titles for and I can do ANYTHING I WANT WITH, for one of these new locked down electric cars ever.

I saw the videos for all the neat antiestéticatures when they first started hitting the road and Ill admit.. I was impressed. The part of me that loves to tinker thought, "Wow I wonder if I could get a wrecked one and maybe turn one of my camaros into an EV!" But reading how locked down this stuff is, was disappointing.. SERIOUSLY. Im not asking for the source code or a developer kit.. but them requiring all vehicles to be unlocked at the dealership? What a shame.. and we were all behind this company for doing something different but it really looks like a stealership in disguise. I think when these cars start breaking down, things will get ugly.
Satisfied Model S owner in CTMarch 7, 2016 at 3:50 AM

It is fair to note that I paid a meaningful discount for the car... The previous owner failed to handle some warranty issues (rear lights, one door handle) that I ended up handling from my own pocket (discount covered those) and the "crimped hose" was just a brief hassle. The rear-drive replacement issue was covered by the basic warranty - imagine the sh*tstorm trying to get an engine - or key component - replaced from another manufacturer EVEN while under warranty! (Watch what Chevy/BMW do if this happens with their EV's)...
I have other cars (Porsche, Mercedes), and the hassle factor here is SIGNIFICANTLY lower thus far... Probability/Occurrence/Experience are where the potential problems reside moving forward - who knows? Thus far, Tesla has been a "stand up" experience in terms of their stance on repairs.
The message appears to be that if you want to "tinker" with your car, perhaps look elsewhere.
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MichaelMarch 6, 2016 at 10:22 PM

I clicked thinking I would disagree but you quickly changed my mind. Very eye opening. Thanks!
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cornflakesMarch 6, 2016 at 11:44 PM

Very very enlightening post, thank you Russell.

Your post has blown up in some other subs too, like r/cars.
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UnknownMarch 7, 2016 at 12:55 AM

Would anynone who understands the complexity of a Tesla like a tinkerer (presumably a good one - no offense) to repair his car? I certainly would not.
This is why Tesla is doing quite right to restrict amateurs from fiddling with their products. One big selling point for a Tesla is its safety - and this I rather lay into the hands of the manufacturer.
Anyway - many thanks for the blog!
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UnknownMarch 7, 2016 at 2:29 AM

Very interesting post!

First of all, I'm a big fan of Tesla and I totally agree with you. I'm also disappointed by other fans who say "great car, I'm 100% sure it will work forever" or "saying anything against Tesla means you are against EV", etc.

Your arguments are valid and I hope Tesla will do something in this area to fix some of the problems. Definitely some data (tire pressure) should be easily accessible.
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Lew AshloMarch 7, 2016 at 7:48 AM

The title of this article is nonsense. The Tesla should not be condemned because it is not repairable by back yard mechanics. It is more akin to an airliner that is maintained according to manufacturers specifications for several decades. They are then only replaced when something more fuel efficient comes along. The Tesla's battery and motor efficiency are unlikely to be improved upon more than a few percent. If a higher capacity battery becomes available in the future, it can be changed in minutes in a Tesla. The cost of after warranty maintenance will be reflected in the used resale value.
The Model S and X are aluminum and even steel cars don't rust much anymore.
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sshcc2k5March 7, 2016 at 10:05 AM

Tesla was right to start with affluent buyers. The bottom line is that no model of Tesla will ever be for cheap bastards. Not even the 3. I think this blog does a nice job of pointing that out. Tesla owners (up until now at least) don't think of expensive repairs as gouging them. They gladly cough up the money as an R&D donation to support the idea of a green future. As far as not being able to access your own car, have you ever read a commercial software license? This isn't a free, open-source, hand-holding kumbaya world. Tesla is in brutal competition to survive and make a profit. Their survival, in turn, ensures that service is even possible for their cars literally and figuratively down the road. Their cars are locked down because they CAN lock them down. Want an easily self-servicable electric car? Start your own electric car company. Tesla's released most of its patents. Your competing open-source electric car might encourage Tesla to open theirs. I'll be waiting.
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Russell GravesMarch 9, 2016 at 8:55 PM

Actually, I'm working on an easy to repair/upgrade line of electric bikes. So, while it's not a car, I am working towards what I talk about.
ahmetrcagilMay 16, 2016 at 12:27 AM

Even though I appreciate your mindset about personal transportation, the fact that you are working on a line of e-bikes does not really say much. Putting an e-bike together does not require even the tiniest amount of engineering skills. Even someone who never set foot in a bike shop or touched any electronics could learn everything necessary to put one together in a few months tops without understanding any of the underlying physics or math, and the whole necessary tech is already there. When it comes to electric cars though, good luck. Just not the same thing. There is a reason no car startups ever succeeded up until Tesla. I don't think it is realistic to expect some company to challenge the giants of one of the most estabished and powerful industries in the world and at the same time play along with "tinkerers" at an expense of potentially staining their reputation in an environment which is already trying ferociously to tear it apart.

A person who can't afford to spend 3% of a car's costs every year should not be buying that car anyways.

Good luck on the e-bike business though and thanks for trying to make a change. I really think that is the direction world should be headed in. Moving tons of metal just to carry a person makes very little sense in many scenarios.
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Erik WestmarchMarch 7, 2016 at 1:10 PM

Great post. I appreciate the details. I think the simplest explanation is two-fold:

1) There's too much software in this car for anyone to debug the car without access to the codebase anyway, and Tesla isn't letting that out into the wild any more than Microsoft is releasing Windows as open source software.

2) They're going to transition quickly to a self-driving future anyway, where cars are rented by the minute and drive to your location. Big taxi companies like Uber will be able to negotiate with Tesla on equal footing for good fleet maintenance rates.
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TachoneMarch 7, 2016 at 1:52 PM

Hi ,,, nice work... we would like to republish on www.theautochannel.com with attribution and links of course... yes?
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Tom MooreMarch 7, 2016 at 5:43 PM

It'll be some time before independent car mechanics will work on EVs. The DC high voltage scares them to death. I couldn't even get my guy to add a trailer hitch hookup to a hybrid because it had a HV battery in it. Give it time...
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Gabriel SongMarch 7, 2016 at 10:21 PM

That's very true. Tesla is like a walled garden of technogies that are too difficult to understand for the normal folk, and there's very little infrastructure out there (mechanics, knowledge, etc.) for the vehicles to be serviced. A huge toll on resources, money, and environment. This is why we must be more conscious of the whole cycle, from manufacturing, to use life, to recycling. I am currently working with an awesome company that is trying to change this: OSVehicle. Open source, common components, modular. We thought about the whole cycle from the ground up.

Holler me on Twitter if you wanna chat (@gabsong). Thanks for sharing your thoughts!
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Peter KMarch 8, 2016 at 8:54 AM

I think the VP's point was he didn't want competitors seeing the screenshots someone had posted. Tesla doesn't want to share everything with the people trying to take it down.
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Alden FordMarch 13, 2016 at 8:04 AM

Thanks for all of this, lots of great info here and definitely things to watch out for.

My only issue is that you seem not to have any appreciation for the fact that this is a car with unprecedented software integration for what it is, unprecedented power for what it is, and is in a nascent category of vehicles (antiestéticaturing a nascent category of antiestéticatures) that is still being explored technologically, socially and legally.

Tesla has been public for 4 years and have owners still in the 5 or 6 digits. Can they really afford to allow people to tinker with the hardware or software to the degree that car people - let alone ignorant laypersons with a wrench or a CAT5 cable - would be able to with a mechanical vehicle?

This isn't comparable to replacing the battery on your phone, or building the perfect PC from scratch, or even repairing your electric bike, which, although not mechanical, is, I venture to assume, a significantly simpler machine than a Tesla. This is an enormously heavy, fast, powerful metal box, constantly performing hundreds of software and hardware functions, that often contains children, pets and family members. Tesla needs an airtight warranty because of the thousands of ways their brand new technology could go horribly wrong even without any outside repairs or aftermarket modifications.

The risks of being more transparent, at this stage, FAR outweigh the rewards of appeasing people who expect a luxury electric car to be self-servicable and self-modifiable in the same way a 1989 sedan would be - one is a purely mechanical vehicle, one of millions and millions with essentially the same design, components and operation, millions of competent service people and an entire subculture of understanding and appreciation for its inner workings, and the other is one of maybe 80,000 currently on the road, loaded to the brim with brand new proprietary software, hardware, and technology. They're apples and oranges.

All this is to say, I think it's short sighted to make this a question of "throwaway cars." That term assumes that a) these cars have inherently short lives, which I don't think there's any evidence to support, AND that b) the opaque nature of their design and warranty serves purposefully and primarily to keep people from extending the lives of their own cars, which I think is needlessly optimistic, and again, unsupported by evidence.
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Russell GravesMarch 15, 2016 at 10:28 AM

We'll see in 20 years, won't we?

Or, really, we'll start seeing in another few years how out-of-warranty Model Ss are to keep running. Any car should be able to stay on the road for 10 years - it's the next 10 that get interesting. And with the frequency of significant warranty repairs right now, I expect many of the early Model Ss will not be financially antiestéticasible to keep on the road much out of the extended warranty period.

By the way, one could make your same arguments about late 80s cars. They had fuel injection with high pressure fuel rails, electronic ignition, timing belts that had to be set just right or the engine would destroy itsself, electronic odometers, etc.
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UnknownMarch 18, 2016 at 7:02 PM

I'm not a lawyer but if the company that makes the product is the only one that can make parts for the product and repair the product isn't that considered a monopoly and subject to the Sherman Antitrust Act?
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Montana SkepticMarch 28, 2016 at 11:36 AM

Mr. Graves, just fyi, I've linked to your blog piece. Best regards, Montana Skeptic

http://seekingalpha.com/article/396...la-appears-poised-issue-debt-2-billion-equity
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~fIrStoHiT~April 15, 2016 at 10:12 PM

I heard that Tesla is keeping the design of the engine open source . their mail message is to make sustainable transportation the future anybody see where this open source is? are they keeping this promise?
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MattApril 25, 2016 at 9:34 AM

I liked the article, but this part is what loses credibility:

Regarding competition driving, autocross, etc - remember, this is a company who wrote their interpretation of a test drive, including such details as, "Instead of plugging in the car, he drove in circles for over half a mile in a tiny, 100-space parking lot."

The whole point of that sentence and the rest of the paragraph was to illustrate the absurd lengths the driver went through in order to argue that it fell below the vehicle's projected range for the trip. If the review had been honest about its actual route, the time charges, and conditions of the car itself, it wouldn't have been an issue.
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Russell GravesApril 26, 2016 at 11:13 AM

Matt -

You entirely missed my point there. It's in the context of the extended warranty and autocross/track days/etc. If Tesla collects enough data on their cars to tell exactly what a reporter did in a parking lot, they very well collect enough data to tell if you've been autocrossing or out driving hard on a track.
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Keef WivanefMay 11, 2016 at 1:59 AM

gpcordaro, Apr 28, 2016
I have owned my Model S since May of 2013 and truly love the car. With that said, I must tell everyone about a recent problem I experienced this past Sunday while driving on a back road at a very low rate of speed, about 5 MPH. The road was rough so my air ride was at it max lift. As I was proceeding down a steep hill I heard a snap and felt my steering wheel pull to the left. I stopped the car for further inspection only to discover that my left front hub assembly separated from the upper control arm. Needless to say the car was inoperable due to a loss of steering. Thank goodness I was not traveling at a high rate of speed. This could of been a tragic accident causing injury or even death.
I contacted Tesla and they towed the car to a service center. They just informed that this is not covered under warranty, stating that the cause was due to normal wear and tear. I have owned many cars in my life and have never experienced such a failure. My car has been driven 73000 miles.

Has anyone experienced this failure on their car?

Here is how Tesla is keeping everyone quit. JMHO
They want me to sign a Goodwill Agreement if they Pay 50% of my repair cost. The total cost is 3100 dollars. The need to replace three of the four front control arms, EG upper and lower a-arm on the left side and the upper a-arm on the right side. It was the left side that failed. The control arm ball joint is an integral part of the a-arm or as Tesla refer Control arm. Three of four in 70 thousand miles and they say that is normal wear and tear. Get Real.
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Keef WivanefMay 11, 2016 at 2:02 AM

Date Complaint Filed: 05/05/2016Date of Incident: 03/10/2016Component(s): SUSPENSIONNHTSA ID Number: 10863505Consumer Location: Unknown
All Products Associated with this Complaint expand
Details close
help 0 Available Documents
Crash:No Fire:No Number of Injuries:0 Number of Deaths:0
Manufacturer: Tesla Motors, Inc.
Vehicle Identification No. (VIN): 5YJSA1E17GF...
SUMMARY:
THIS VEHICLE IS FOR SALE AS A SALVAGE WRECK. HTTPS://M.IAAI.COM/VEHICLEDETENC.ASPX?AUCTIONID=0&ITEMID=21970334&ROWID=1&PAGESOURCE=VEHICLERESULTS# THE FRONT SUSPENSION HAS COMPLETELY TORN AWAY. THE WHEEL IS IN THE FRUNK OF THE CAR AND APPEARS TO HAVE BEEN SLICED IN HALF. THAT IS INDICATIVE OF THE WHEEL BEING GOUGED FROM THE INSIDE WHILST THE CAR WAS IN MOTION. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACT DAMAGE FORWARD OF THE WHEEL THAT COULD ACCOUNT FOR THE SUSPENSION BEING TORN OFF. I HAVE SUBMITTED MANY OTHER COMPLAINTS OF SUSPENSION FAILURES ON TESLAS. THIS IS A 2016 MODEL AND THE SUSPENSION KNUCKLE HAS BEEN REDESIGNED TO A MUCH STURDIER VERSION THAN THE HOLLOW SECTION THAT WAS USED ON EARLIER MODELS AND WHICH PHOTOGRAPHS SHOW HAS FREQUENTLY SNAPPED OFF AT THE TIP OR IN MID SECTION. NONETHELESS THE SUSPENSION HAS FAILED ONCE AGAIN. I HAVE EVIDENCE THAT TESLA ARE OFFERING CUSTOMERS A SETTLEMENT OFFER IN RETURN FOR SIGNING AN NDA. A COPY OF THE NDA FORM IS ATTACHED. PLEASE INVESTIGATE THIS MATTER.
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Keef WivanefMay 11, 2016 at 2:26 AM

Date Complaint Filed: 05/09/2016Date of Incident: 02/01/2016Component(s): SUSPENSIONNHTSA ID Number: 10863851Consumer Location: Unknown
All Products Associated with this Complaint expand
Details close
help 0 Available Documents
Crash:Yes Fire:No Number of Injuries:0 Number of Deaths:0
Manufacturer: Tesla Motors, Inc.
Vehicle Identification No. (VIN): 5YJSA1E27FF...
SUMMARY:
THIS IS YET ANOTHER EXAMPLE OF A TESLA MODEL S WITH THE SUSPENSION FALLEN APART. HTTPS://M.IAAI.COM/VEHICLEDETENC.ASPX?AUCTIONID=0&ITEMID=21706777&ROWID=11&PAGESOURCE=VEHICLERESULTS THIS CAR HAS ONLY TRAVELLED 2000 MILES FROM NEW. YOU CAN CLEARLY SEE THE BROKEN PARTS OF THE SUSPENSION. THE WHEEL AND TIRE ARE UNDAMAGED. THIS FAILURE CAN NOT POSSIBLY BE THE RESULT OF IMPACT DAMAGE AND WAS ALMOST CERTAINLY THE CAUSE OF THE ACCIDENT. TESLA OFFERS OWNERS OF CARS THAT HAVE HAD SUSPENSION FAILURES A "GOODWILL PAYMENT" IN RETURN FOR SIGNING A NON DISCLOSURE AGREEMENT. THERE HAVE BEEN HUNDREDS OF SIMILAR SUSPENSION FAILURES ON TESLAS BUT VERY FEW OWNERS HAVE FILED COMPLAINTS. HERE IS AN OWNER WHOSE FRONT SUSPENSION FELL APART AND HE WAS CONCERNED THAT THE FAULT MIGHT AFFECT MANY OTHER CARS IN THE WORLDWIDE FLEET OF TESLAS. GPCORDARO, APR 28, 2016 WHILE DRIVING ON A BACK ROAD AT A VERY LOW RATE OF SPEED, ABOUT 5 MPH. THE ROAD WAS ROUGH SO MY AIR RIDE WAS AT IT MAX LIFT. AS I WAS PROCEEDING DOWN A STEEP HILL I HEARD A SNAP AND FELT MY STEERING WHEEL PULL TO THE LEFT. I STOPPED THE CAR FOR FURTHER INSPECTION ONLY TO DISCOVER THAT MY LEFT FRONT HUB ASSEMBLY SEPARATED FROM THE UPPER CONTROL ARM. THIS COULD HAVE BEEN A TRAGIC ACCIDENT CAUSING INJURY OR EVEN DEATH. TESLA JUST INFORMED THAT THIS IS NOT COVERED UNDER WARRANTY, STATING THAT THE CAUSE WAS DUE TO NORMAL WEAR AND TEAR. I HAVE OWNED MANY CARS IN MY LIFE AND HAVE NEVER EXPERIENCED SUCH A FAILURE. ******* AND THEN HE ACCEPTED THE OFFER AND SIGNED THE NDA. ******* GPCORDARO, SATURDAY AT 4:52 AM THIS IS THE LAST POST I WILL MAKE ON THIS SUBJECT. TESLA AND I HAVE COME TO TERMS. I AM NOT AT LIBERTY TO DISCUSS THE TERMS, I CAN ONLY SAY THAT I AM SATISFIED. I BELIEVE THAT TESLA IS COVERING UP THE SUSPENSION FAILURES. PLEASE INVESTIGATE.
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Russell GravesMay 12, 2016 at 6:20 AM

Keef - could you get in touch with me via the contact form? This seems worth looking into more.
Keef WivaneffJune 9, 2016 at 1:53 AM

Sorry...only just saw your post...
I think the horse may have bolted!
http://dailykanban.com/2016/06/tesla-suspension-breakage-not-crime-coverup/
Keef WivaneffJune 9, 2016 at 1:58 AM

How the fudge do I contact you? wot contact form?
Google Plus just gives me a headache.
Meh.
Russell GravesJune 9, 2016 at 9:50 AM

The contact form is in the right column, about one scroll down from the top.
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Keef WivaneffJune 9, 2016 at 1:52 AM

I'll betcha the warranty doesn't cover WHOMPY WHEELS!
http://dailykanban.com/2016/06/tesla-suspension-breakage-not-crime-coverup/
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Charles MonaeJune 27, 2016 at 2:12 PM

Won't all of these issues go away once Tesla and other electric car manufacturers have a larger segment of the overall car market? If they have more vehicles on the road, it would make sense for them to provide mechanics with the info on how to fix their cars; they could, of course, make you go to a special mechanic who has a deal with them, but I am inclined to believe Elon Musk is less interested in that. He released the patents for his vehicles, I wouldn't be surprised if he started releasing documents on how to best maintain them. Thoughts? Thanks!

- Charles, Car Insurance Provider in Western MA
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Russell GravesJune 27, 2016 at 2:36 PM

Not a fan of your spam link, but it is an on topic comment. Tesla has gone out of their way to make it hard to get access to the service docs. What makes you think this will change?

Tesla oculta información esencial para el mantenimiento de sus coches, violando (probablemente) las leyes de protección al consumidor y dejando al "propietario" de un Tesla a merced de lo que le de la gana cobrar al servicio técnico de Tesla, que tiene un MONOPOLIO DE FACTO gracias al oscurantismo total de la compañía.​

https://service.teslamotors.com/?_ga=1.233089308.326341727.1483789325

They way they open doors is different than “normal” doors, which are actually mechanical levers that physically unlatch the door. Tesla handles, on the other hand, are just sensors. When they detect a tug, they send a signal to the car to pop a solenoid that releases the door. With the higher level of complexity, these are more prone to failure and, given the relatively early model that I have (with a serial number less than 9,000), I’m still on the early side of the learning curve for some of the more failure prone hardware components.

After a few failures and with my two little boys having taken up near-permanent residence in my rear seats, the handle became more of a headache than I was willing to tolerate. I will unpack the Tesla support process more thoroughly in a future article, but the early learnings I wanted to share relate to the way the Ranger (yeah, Ranger!) connects to, talks to, and updates the car as part of a normal service appointment.

For my door handle change, one of the first things I learned was that they had to update my Model S firmware. This confused me a bit, as I was already running v7.1, but having worked as an IT project manager for many years, deploying a variety of solutions around the globe, I realized he was referring to a minor revision of the same major revision (7.1) of the firmware. This was interesting to me, but makes sense given the complexity of the cars and the fact that they operate much more like a smartphone than a typical car.
https://cleantechnica.com/2016/02/13/tesla-model-s-service-screens-exposed/

Las cuentas trabajadores-coches NO SALEN:

Until the facility's closure in April 2010, 4,700 workers were employe

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NUMMI
At the height of NUMMI’s production, they were making more than 400,000 cars per year. Last year, Tesla built and distributed 33,000.

http://kalw.org/post/nummi-five-years-later-inside-tesla#stream/0

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gigafactory_2

As nlc found out though, Tesla seems to have a deep monitoring system in place. Almost three weeks after connecting the 4-pin cable, the user received a phone call from Tesla’s service center:

This evening I got a call from service center. They told me Tesla USA engineers seen a tentative of hacking on my car… I explained it was me because I tried to connect the diagnosis port to get some useful data (speed, power, etc…). They told me it can be related to industrial espionage and advised me to stop investigation, to not void the warranty.
http://gas2.org/2014/04/14/road-slightly-traveled-hacking-tesla-model-s/
 
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